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Conab raises Brazil’s 2026 coffee crop estimate to 67.6 million bags

BRAZIL CROP OUTLOOK

Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab) estimates 2026 coffee production at 67.6 million 60-kg bags, 19.6% above the 2025 crop, in its third survey published on 24 September. The estimate includes 48.2 million bags of Arabica and 19.4 million bags of Conilon. Conab attributes the larger crop to a positive biennial cycle, more productive area and improved average yields.

Atlas commercial interpretation

For buyers in Oman, Iran, the UAE and the wider GCC, a larger Brazilian crop estimate improves the medium-term supply picture, but it is not proof of availability, price or shipment timing for a specific lot. Keep Arabica and Conilon requirements separate; request crop year, grade, screen, defects, moisture, cup result, origin differential, freight and loading window in comparable offers. Stage non-urgent coverage while protecting essential requirements with verified physical stock and shipment capacity.

Official source: Conab third coffee-crop survey — 24 September 2026

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