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2026-10-03

October opens with a dated ICO benchmark of 259.20 cents per pound

The latest complete row in the October ICO sheet is 1 October 2026: I-CIP 259.20, Colombian Milds 351.88, Other Milds 325.18, Brazilian Naturals 286.80 and Robustas 166.04 US cents/lb. The 2 October row was blank when checked on 3 October. Daily changes are unavailable here because the official preceding-month observation could not be independently retrieved for this rollover.

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2026-10-01

Arabica indicators rise while Robustas ease in the latest ICO row

The latest complete ICO observation, dated 29 September 2026, puts I-CIP at 259.81 US cents/lb, up 0.12% from 28 September. Colombian Milds reached 353.69 (+0.24%), Other Milds 327.00 (+0.26%) and Brazilian Naturals 288.53 (+0.42%); Robustas fell to 164.59 (−0.56%). The 30 September row remained blank when checked on 1 October.

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2026-09-26

Conab raises Brazil’s 2026 coffee crop estimate to 67.6 million bags

Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab) estimates 2026 coffee production at 67.6 million 60-kg bags, 19.6% above the 2025 crop, in its third survey published on 24 September. The estimate includes 48.2 million bags of Arabica and 19.4 million bags of Conilon. Conab attributes the larger crop to a positive biennial cycle, more productive area and improved average yields.

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2026-09-29

A benchmark rebound is not a physical offer

The ICO I-CIP rose from 250.82 on 24 September to 252.96 US cents/lb on 25 September, a 0.85% daily increase. Correction, 1 October: ICO revised the 25 September figure on 29 September; the original version used 253.05 (+0.89%). Newer observations are available in the dated ticker.

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2026-09-26

I-CIP eases 0.28% as all group indicators edge lower

The International Coffee Organization’s latest complete daily sheet shows the I-CIP at 250.82 US cents/lb on 24 September 2026, down 0.28% from 23 September. Colombian Milds fell 0.26% to 342.06 cents/lb, Other Milds 0.28% to 316.16, Brazilian Naturals 0.40% to 274.44 and Robustas 0.14% to 161.94. Brazilian Naturals recorded the largest percentage decline among the four group indicators.

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2026-09-25

ICO composite rebounds 1.24% as every group indicator moves higher

The International Coffee Organization’s latest complete daily sheet shows the I-CIP at 251.53 US cents/lb on 23 September 2026, up 1.24% from 22 September. Colombian Milds rose 1.18% to 342.94 cents/lb, Other Milds 1.28% to 317.05, Brazilian Naturals 1.59% to 275.55 and Robustas 0.75% to 162.17. Brazilian Naturals recorded the largest percentage rise among the four group indicators.

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2026-09-24

ICO composite extends its decline as Robustas record the sharpest group loss

The International Coffee Organization’s latest complete daily sheet shows the I-CIP at 248.44 US cents/lb on 22 September 2026, down 1.38% from 21 September. Colombian Milds fell 1.11% to 338.93 cents/lb, Other Milds 1.20% to 313.03, Brazilian Naturals 1.38% to 271.24 and Robustas 1.78% to 160.96—the largest percentage decline among the four group indicators.

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2026-09-23

ICO composite falls 2.65% as all group indicators decline

The International Coffee Organization’s latest complete daily sheet shows the I-CIP at 251.92 US cents/lb on 21 September 2026, down 2.65% from the previous published observation on 18 September. Colombian Milds fell 2.65% to 342.73 cents/lb, Other Milds 2.86% to 316.83, Brazilian Naturals 3.35% to 275.03 and Robustas 1.37% to 163.88.

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2026-09-22

Central America and Mexico coffee exports fell 15.9% in July

The International Coffee Organization reports that exports of all forms of coffee from the Caribbean, Mexico and Central America fell 15.9% year on year to 1.39 million 60-kg bags in July 2026, the region’s third consecutive month of decline. Mexico and Nicaragua were the main drivers. Within green Other Milds, Nicaragua’s shipments fell 63.1% to 0.12 million bags, partly offset by increases from Guatemala and Honduras.

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2026-09-20

July green-coffee export growth came entirely from Robusta

The International Coffee Organization reports that global green-bean exports rose 6.3% year on year to 10.76 million 60-kg bags in July 2026. The increase was entirely driven by Robusta exports, which jumped 32.0% to 4.98 million bags, while total Arabica exports fell 8.9% to 5.78 million bags. Arabica’s share of cumulative green-bean exports in the first ten months of coffee year 2025/26 fell to 59.7%, from 63.6% a year earlier.

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2026-09-19

Colombia’s July coffee exports fall 15.3% as the Mitaca crop weakens

The International Coffee Organization reports that Colombia exported 0.93 million 60-kg bags in July 2026, down 15.3% from 1.10 million bags in July 2025. The ICO links the decline to adverse weather during the first half of 2025, which disrupted flowering and cherry development, delayed the main 2025/26 harvest and reduced the subsequent Mitaca, or fly crop.

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2026-09-18

ICO projects a 3.0 million-bag coffee surplus after four deficit years

The International Coffee Organization’s statistics update of 10 September estimates world coffee production at 183.6 million 60-kg bags in coffee year 2025/26, up 4.4%, while consumption is estimated to decline 0.8%. The resulting balance is a projected surplus of 3.0 million bags, following four consecutive deficit years from 2021/22 through 2024/25.

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2026-09-17

Excess rainfall may cut Indonesia’s 2026/27 coffee crop by 8%

USDA’s Jakarta office forecasts Indonesia’s green-bean production at 11.38 million 60-kg bags in 2026/27, down 8% year on year. The report attributes the decline mainly to excessive rainfall during flowering and fruit development in Robusta areas of southern Sumatra and Java, and projects green-bean exports at 7 million bags.

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2026-09-16

Uganda’s annual coffee shipments rise 16% to 8.6 million bags

Uganda’s Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries reports that the country exported 8.6 million 60-kg bags from June 2025 through May 2026, up from 7.4 million bags in the comparable previous period. Export earnings reached US$2.3 billion, an 11% increase, supported by higher volumes and sustained international demand.

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2026-09-14

Viet Nam’s July Robusta exports jump 87.4%

The International Coffee Organization reports that Viet Nam exported 2.40 million 60-kg bags of Robusta in July 2026, up 87.4% from 1.28 million bags in July 2025. Together with an 83.7% rise in Brazilian Robusta shipments, this helped lift global Robusta exports by 32.0% year on year to 4.98 million bags.

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2026-09-14

Two-speed coffee market: tight Arabica now, stronger Robusta flow

This week’s evidence points to a divided market rather than a single direction. Near-term Arabica availability remains tight, while Robusta export flows and London-certified stocks are rebuilding. Weather expectations and Brazil’s crop commercialization can still reverse benchmark moves quickly.

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2026-09-13

August’s flat ICO average masks a two-way coffee market

The International Coffee Organization reports that its Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.29 US cents/lb in August 2026, virtually unchanged from July’s 287.26. The monthly average concealed a mid-month rally supported by heightened El Niño concerns and tight near-term Arabica supplies, followed by a reversal as favourable Brazilian rainfall and improved supply expectations reduced upward pressure.

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2026-09-12

Planned Brazilian Arabica deliveries could more than double depleted ICE stocks

Reuters reports that coffee traders are seeking to certify at least 300,000 bags of Brazilian Arabica for ICE warehouses ahead of the December contract. ICE-certified Arabica stocks have fallen below 220,000 bags, a 26-year low. More than 62,000 Brazilian bags had already reached exchange depots for grading, but it remains uncertain how many will pass certification.

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2026-09-11

EUDR deadlines move coffee traceability closer to a global sourcing standard

The European Commission confirms that coffee is covered by the EU Deforestation Regulation. Operators placing covered products on the EU market must show that they are not linked to recent deforestation or forest degradation. The rules apply to large and medium operators from 30 December 2026 and to micro and small operators from 30 June 2027.

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2026-09-10

Arabica supply tightness widens the premium over Robusta

The ICO’s July 2026 Coffee Market Report shows the I-CIP averaging 287.26 US cents/lb, up 15.4% from June. Colombian Milds rose 18.1% to 383.39 cents/lb while Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 cents/lb. The New York–London arbitrage widened 36.4% to 137.61 cents/lb.

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